Kelley Blue Book (KBB) reports that new-vehicle prices are trending higher, citing higher costs for automakers and new 2026 model year products arriving on the market.
Despite new-vehicle prices in July declining slightly over June, KBB says according to its new data, new-vehicle average transaction prices (ATPs) and manufacturer's suggested retail prices (MSRPs) – two key measures of vehicle price increases in the U.S. – are accelerating but remain below long-term averages. KBB attributes July's slight ATP dip to accelerated incentive spending accelerated which fueled strong sales volumes.
Here is some of the data shared in a KBB press release:
- In July, the new-vehicle ATP was $48,841, down 0.1% from the revised lower June ATP of $48,900. ATPs last month were higher year over year by 1.5%, the largest annual gain of 2025, though still below long-term average gains.
- KBB reports that Incentives jumped higher, increasing to 7.3% of ATP in July from an upwardly revised 7.0% of ATP in June, equal to $3,553. The average incentive spend in July was the highest point of 2025 and higher than year-ago levels, when average incentive spending was 7.0% of ATP.
- New-vehicle MSRPs were lower in July by 0.3% compared to June but higher versus year-ago levels by 2.4%, which KBB says suggests manufacturer costs continue to increase more quickly than consumer retail prices (ATPs). The year-over-year gain of 2.4% in July was the largest in 2025, although still below the long-term average of 3.5%.
- The cost of living high-end is moving higher, as many imported luxury vehicles tangle with tariffs and others premium brands reposition product portfolios for higher revenue. KBB says the reasons for this differ, but many luxury brands saw notably higher prices year over year in July. (Acura is a stand-out exception.) Cadillac, Land Rover and Infiniti all posted double-digit ATP gains versus 2024. ATP growth at Mercedes, Porsche and Lincoln was also more than twice the industry average, while Audi, BMW and Genesis increases were closer to the industry average.
- According to KBB data, five volume automakers saw ATPs lower versus July 2024, with Jeep leading the way. The Jeep brand ATP, at $47,275, declined nearly 12% year over year in July and was at the lowest point since the fall of 2021. Jeep incentives last month were 8.1% of ATP, down from June but notably higher than the 5.5% counted in July 2024. Jeep brand sales were higher year over year by 27% in July.
"In the face of rising prices, it is becoming more evident that the new-vehicle market is being supported by pent-up demand driven largely by high-net-worth households," said Erin Keating, Executive Analyst, Cox Automotive. "These buyers are benefiting from the wealth effect of a healthy stock market and solid wage growth since the pandemic. At the same time, automakers are providing healthy incentives to keep sales flowing. Prices are trending higher, but just as we are seeing in the broader retail markets, there's sufficient demand and generous incentives out there, and that's driving the market."
Electric Vehicles
In July, KBB reports that electric vehicle sales were spurred on by lower prices and higher incentives.
- In July, the ATP for a new electric vehicle (EV), according to KBB estimates, was $55,689, down by 2.2% from the June ATP of $56,915. New EV prices were lower year over year by 4.2% in July.
- EV market leader Tesla led the price decline. Last month, the Tesla ATP was $52,949, according to estimates from Kelley Blue Book, lower compared to June by 2.4% and down 9.1% year over year. Tesla incentives in July were higher as well, and sales gained compared to June, although they were down year over year. Researchers say a higher mix of core Model 3 and Model Y products helped pull prices lower for Tesla.
- EV incentives also soared in July, as automakers and dealers worked to move inventory prior to the decline in government support. KBB cites an average incentive package for an EV in July as 17.5% of ATP, a record in the modern era of EV sales and higher year over year by more than 40%.
- Cox Automotive says it's been expecting strong EV sales in Q3, as government incentives approach an Oct. 1 sunset. EV sales in July were strong, initially estimated to be the second-best month ever, with sales over 130,000, a 20% year-over-year increase.
"The urgency created by the administration's decision to sunset government-backed, IRA-era EV incentives was expected to create serious demand for EVs in the short term, " said Stephanie Valdez Streaty, Senior Analyst, Cox Automotive. "If last month is any measure: Mission Accomplished. July sales were near an all-time monthly record. At this pace, Q3 will be the best ever and then some, as buyers jump in before the big incentives dry up."